Fantasy Premier League 2026/27

Every FPL decision, backed by a number.

Expected points for every player in Fantasy Premier League, from an algorithm that learns from every match played.

GW3 Deadline 3d 9h 16m

Independent and unofficial. Not affiliated with the Premier League.

The model's XIGW33-4-366.1 xPts
Raya4.8
Gabriel5.8
O'Reilly4.9
Tarkowski4.4
Tzolis7.3
Mbeumo7.3
B.Fernandes7.1
Barnes4.6
Haaland7.9
Gyökeres6.4
Watkins5.6
Captain Haaland Projected points

GW3 fixtures

  • Ipswich TownvLiverpoolFri 20:00
  • NewcastlevBournemouthSat 12:30
  • BrentfordvSunderlandSat 15:00
  • BrightonvLeedsSat 15:00
  • FulhamvCrystal PalaceSat 15:00
  • Man CityvCoventry CitySat 15:00
  • Nott'm ForestvSpursSat 15:00
  • Hull CityvAston VillaSat 17:30
  • EvertonvMan UtdSun 14:00
  • ArsenalvChelseaSun 16:30

The coverage

Every player in Fantasy Premier League, projected for every fixture. Every club with its matches rated for difficulty, clean sheets and goals.

Stats, injuries and team news all day, from an algorithm that learns from every result and updates the moment a team sheet lands.

Captaincy watch

Highest projected for Gameweek 3

Straight from the model, updated with every data refresh. A per-fixture projection: a double gameweek shows twice.

  1. 1
    HaalandMCI · F · £15.5m
    7.0 xPts
  2. 2
    CherkiMCI · M · £7.7m
    6.1 xPts
  3. 3
    B.FernandesMUN · M · £12.0m
    5.7 xPts
  4. 4
    SzoboszlaiLIV · M · £7.0m
    5.6 xPts
  5. 5
    SemenyoMCI · M · £8.5m
    5.5 xPts
See all players →

The toolkit

Three views of the same model

The build-up

Built up from the fixture, not averaged down from last season

  1. Start from the match, not the player

    Each fixture is rated for goals scored and conceded. That sets how many chances exist to share out before any individual is considered.

  2. Give each player his share

    Goal, assist, save and defensive rates are built from minutes actually played and regressed toward a positional baseline, so a two-game cameo is never read as a nailed-on starter.

  3. Score it under the real rules

    Appearance, goals by position, assists, clean sheets, saves, cards, defensive contributions and bonus are each computed and summed into one expected-points number.

  4. Handle the awkward gameweeks

    A club playing twice gets two projections that add up. A club playing nobody gets none, and is marked blank rather than quietly showing zero.

The other two

Same model, other competitions

The fixture model does not know or care which league it is pricing. What changes is the ruleset it scores under, the calendar it plans across, and the clubs it has to separate.

PortugalLiga PortugalExpected points for every player, all 34 gameweeks.18 clubs · 34 gameweeks Open
EuropeChampions LeagueLeague phase and knockouts, priced the same way.36 clubs · 8 gameweeks In the plan

Q&A

Common questions

A projection of how many fantasy points a player will score in a given fixture, built from how many goals that match is expected to produce, the player's share of them, and how likely he is to play. It is a forecast, not a guarantee.

A club playing twice in one gameweek gets a separate projection per fixture, and the two add up. A club with no fixture is marked "no match" rather than shown as zero, so you can tell it apart from "expected to score nothing".

No. The player explorer, fixture ticker and squad planner are all open. An account only saves your favourites.

No. This is an independent, unofficial tool with no connection to the Premier League or its fantasy game.

Full-time. Pick on the numbers.

Open the explorer, sort by projected points, and see how your current squad measures up before the deadline.